Market Updates

Monthly Footstock Market Update: July

July 28, 2020
FPLGreenArrow

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Monthly Footstock Market Update: July

With just the FA Cup Final remaining, the prolonged 19/20 domestic season is almost over and a summer break full of virtual tournaments is nearly upon us. But how is the market looking going into the final weekend? The Footstock market update gives us a good idea.

Over the last month there seems to have been a slight shift in market mechanics, with prices now moving up and down a lot more based around tournaments. With pretty much non-stop multis and the reintroduction of single-match tournaments, the entry deadlines have been coming thick and fast. This has seen an increase in tournament-based trading, especially in the lead up to and following lineup announcements, with many players rising/falling by 10–20% based on whether they start or not.

Throughout July prices of many of the top 30 players on the market have continued on a downward trend from June. However, when looking at the players who have dropped, many of them could be related to a downturn of form or playing time, which I’ll look into a bit further below.

Category Changes

With the return of real football, we were back to more regular movement between categories at the start of July.

Man Utd’s domination of the Legendary category is no more, with Marcus Rashford and Scott McTominay dropping down to Epic to be replaced by Kevin De Bruyne and Mohamed Salah in the top tier.

We’ve also seen more moves between Epic and Rare categories:

Moved up: Son, Pope, Pereira, Shaw, Redmond, Armstrong and Heaton(gate)

Moved down: Zaha, J. Henderson, Jesus, Kane, Jota, Ighalo and Firmino

Price Movements

I’ve again had a look at the three different card prices available for the top 30 players on the market to see what changes there have been compared to previous months.

N.B. with the market being a lot more fluid and the prices shifting on an hourly basis, sometimes significantly, the prices below are only as a guide to give an indication of the change in the value of the top 30 as a whole.

(All values correct as of 27th July, 11 a.m.)

‘Sell This Card’ Prices

‘Buy This Card’ Prices

‘Last Card Deal’ Prices

Top 30 Totals & Averages Monthly Comparison

Market Drivers

As mentioned earlier, the prices of the top 30 overall have dropped again compared to those recorded at the end of June, but there are clearer reasons for it this time around.

Category changes – with 7 players switching between Epic and Rare categories, there’s a noticeable difference in the total price of the 7 moving up compared to those who’ve dropped to Rare.

At the time of writing, those who have moved down to the 3-star category had a combined price of £101.06, which is considerably higher than the price of those who have jumped up to 4 stars at £57.13. Most notable is the difference between Harry Kane’s £48.70 and Tom Heaton’s £1.70.

Player/team form and minutes – since last month’s market update post, the 5 players with the biggest price drops in the top 30 have been:

Rashford (£24.39 drop) – only 2 goals from open play during July
Traore (£24.19 drop) – 0 goals or assists at all through July and 2 games starting on the bench
Alexander-Arnold (£22 drop) – Only 1 clean sheet in July, 2 games out of the starting XI and until his goal and assist against Chelsea, no attacking returns
Sarr (£14.75 drop) – No goals and 3 assists in July, plus Watford’s poor general form and ultimate relegation
Fred (£14.61 drop) – only 3 sub appearances in July and 0 mins at all across last 3 games

Conversely, players such as Ings, Son and Martial have all increased in price from last month after some good performances throughout July.

Stat roulette suspension – with the ever-popular stat roulette being suspended, it’s meant large drops in price for some of the popular Epic options. Between Richarlison, Ayew and Sarr there has been a £42.34 drop in price, which is in part due to them losing one of their key strengths as strong options in the daily spins.

Even with another month of lowered prices for the top 30 combined, the overall prices are still 257–283% higher than they were in the first piece I wrote back in March.

Current Trading Opportunities

As usual, I’ve also taken a look at the top 5 options of the current Epic and Legendary cards when it comes to trading.

Top 5

Trading in and out of the above players once each at those prices would mean a profit of £33.67, and with the changes in the market that seem to now be in place around tournaments, there is definitely a lot of earning potential for those people willing to spend a bit of time on the trading side of things.

With a 7-week break until the Premier League is scheduled to return, we’ll have to wait and see what impact a virtual summer has on the market prices, but with the triple-header of announcements made last week putting a solid roadmap in place for Footstock, the future is looking very promising.


Remember, Footstock is a gambling product. Profits are not guaranteed.
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FPLGreenArrow

A member since launch, FPLGreenArrow was initially more of a lurker, though eventually caught the Footstock bug big time. He can regularly be seen finishing just outside the money in tournaments!